September 19, 2022
Heat vs Hawks Game 4

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Game 4 Odds – How to Watch, Preview, & Prediction for Eastern Conference semifinals game 4.

The No. 1 seed Miami Heat (2-1) will face the No. 8 seed Atlanta Hawks (1-2) in Game 3 of the preliminary round playoff series of the Eastern Conference at the State Farm Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 pm. ET and games will be broadcast on OKBET. Below, you’ll see the odds and lines of Heat vs. Hawks and meet expert NBA picks, forecasts, and bets.

Atlanta held serve on its home court on Friday, defeating Miami in a 111-110 Game 3 thriller. With 5.5 seconds remaining, Hawks All-Star PG Trae Young hit a game-winning floater, and Atlanta defended a game-winning shot by Heat All-Star wing Jimmy Butler as time expired.

In these playoffs, Miami outperforms Atlanta in three of the “four factors,” scoring 11.2 more points per 100 possessions. Butler has led the Heat-Hawks series with 28.7 points per game (PPG) on 61.7 percent true shooting (.533/.429/.727) and a plus-22 net rating.

Heat at Hawks odds and lines

The odds are provided by OKBET Sportsbook; for a complete list, visit the Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub. The lines were most recently updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Heat -135 (bet 135 to win 100) | Hawks +110 (bet 100 to win 110)
  • Against the spread: Heat -1.5 (-120) | Hawks +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Heat at Hawks key injuries

Heat

  • Bam Adebayo (quadriceps) questionable
  • PG Kyle Lowry (hamstring) questionable
  • PF P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
  • PG Gabe Vincent (toe) probable

Hawks

  • Clint Capela (knee) questionable

Heat vs Hawks Game 4 picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Hawks 110

Money line

LEAN HEAT (-135) is due to the Hawks being in Capella without a defensive anchor for three consecutive games and having a Reverse Line Movement (RLM) to Miami.

Capela is critical to Atlanta’s pick-and-roll offense, rim, paint defense, and rebounding. The Heat outrebounded the Hawks by a wide margin, allowed the fewest paint PPG during the regular season, and ranked ninth in defensive efficiency versus PNR through ball handlers.

Approximately two-thirds of the money is on the Hawks, but the Heat’s ML has risen from -115 to the current number, according to pregame.com. When sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper, it’s a red flag.

Having said that, it’s only a LEAN to the HEAT (-135) since Capela’s game status has been upgraded to “questionable,” and the Hawks are 5-3 as home underdogs this season.

Read more: The Clippers beat OKC 138-88 for their fifth straight win, and a play-in game awaits

Against the spread

PASS because Miami’s ML is only 15 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Heat’s -1.5 (-120), so there’s no reason to worry about the spread.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 220.5 (-112) because the Heat-Hawks have the third-fastest postseason pace, both teams had a high offensive free-throw attempt rate during the regular season, and both teams are excellent 3-point shooters.

However, the Under has won four straight meetings between the Heat and the Hawks, and both offenses tend to settle for long, contested 2-pointers or 3-pointers. A poor shooting quarter by either team could put an Over bet in jeopardy. OKBET Sportsbook, allows you to bet legally online.

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