September 27, 2022
Dallas Mavericks

No. 5 Utah Jazz (2-3) is an important game 6 to be held at Vivint Smart Home Arena on Thursday, No. 4 Host the Dallas Mavericks (3-2). Tip-off is scheduled for 10 pm. ET (TNT). Below, you’ll see the odds and odds of the Mavericks vs. Jazz and meet the expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Dallas defeated Utah 102-77 in Game 5 on Monday, and Mavericks All-Star PG Luka Doncic has been fantastic since making his series debut in Game 3. In the first round, Luka is averaging a series-high 31.5 points on 51.2 percent shooting, 11.5 rebounds, and a plus-22 net rating.

On the other side, almost every member of Utah’s starting five has struggled in this series, including the Jazz’s top regular-season scorer, SG Donovan Mitchell, who is averaging an inefficient 26.0 points on 41.4 percent effective field goal shooting (eFG percent) with a minus-13 net rating.

Read more: Game 6 odds, selections, and predictions for the Philadelphia 76ers vs. Toronto Raptors

Mavericks at Jazz odds and lines

The odds are provided by OKBET Sportsbook for a complete list. Lines were last updated at 2:02 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mavericks -112 (bet 112 to win 100) | Jazz -108 (bet 108 to win 100)
  • Against the spread: Mavericks -1.5 (-102) | Jazz +1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: 209.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Mavericks at Jazz key injuries

Mavericks

  • None

Jazz

  • SG Donovan Mitchell (quadriceps) probable

Mavericks at Jazz picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 104

Money line

Go Mavericks (-112), win Game 6, and the Jazz (-108) look ill, so they advance to the Western Conference playoffs. Utah needs Mitchell to be much more effective offensively, and C Rudy Gobert to make a difference defensively.

However, Dallas finished sixth in defensive rating during the regular season and has limited Utah to 49.7 percent eFG percent in this series. In addition, the Jazz’s sloppy ball protection from the regular season has continued over into the playoffs. The Mavericks have committed 20 fewer turnovers than the Jazz.

In addition, Mitchell may miss Game 6 and there is almost no guarantee that it will not be 100% in Utah’s Eliminator. Mitchell left the match with a leg injury in the second half.

Furthermore, the Mavericks’ guards are knifing through the Jazz’s backcourt, causing Utah’s perimeter defense to collapse and leading to wide-open 3-pointers for Dallas. It’s absurd to expect Gobert to guard the rim and guard the Mavericks’ 3-point shooters in the corner.

Utah’s lone chance of winning Game 6 is that it will be played in Salt Lake City, but all basketball logic predicts Dallas will end Utah’s season on Thursday.

TAKE the MAVERICKS (-112).

Against the spread

PASS because the Mavericks-1.5 (-102) is inadequate protection for our Dallas ML wager. However, I’d reluctantly take the points with Dallas just to be safe, If the Mavericks’ spread rises beyond 2.

Over/Under

PASS with a “lean” toward the Over 209.5 (-108) because Dallas is getting anything it wants on offense against Utah, and it would make sense for the Jazz to increase their tempo and 3-point volume with their season on the line.

There is, however, some reverse line movement (RLM) to the south of the total. According to Pregame.com, the great bulk of the market is betting the Over, however the total has been reduced from 210.5 points to the current amount.

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